Thought I might share something interesting, perhaps, 8 bits of everyday tech we won't use in the future?
1. Keyboard and Mouse
Seems unbelievable? The keyboard and mouse you use every day will probably not exist in ten years, replaced by highly-detailed touch interfaces such as the iPhone on a big screen and multi-touch systems that support highly complex gestures, such as circling a group of photos, tossing them around, and clicking to remove smudges.
2. Public Wi-Fi
Just as 801.11n may have finally found its space it is most likely too late. WiMax networks that run in major cities would seem to avoid the need for a local hotspot anymore, meaning as cities develop smart grids that allow citizens to see their power usage in real-time, electric cars report mileage and traffic info over wireless, and streaming video systems replace telephone networks, a widespread wireless network won't just be an emerging tech idea, as great as it sounds now – it will be a requirement.
3. The Landline Phone
Companies have already switched almost entirely to IP based telephony, so an analog line to the home will become a distant memory. Interestingly, Jon Peddie says even the cell phone might not exist in ten years, replaced by a personal heads-up display that actually works and doesn't make you feel sick – tied into the cloud, snapping a live stream of photos and videos, able to be transported to wherever you want them to go.
4. Optical Discs
Isn't it amazing that currently notebooks and desktops come with an optical drive, and that we're still buying Blu-ray discs. Yet, we can't blame Microsoft and Sony. It's really the pathetic speed of broadband, running only about 3-5Mbps in most areas, so much so that you can boast about your fast speeds if and when they choose to come along. In the future, more fiber networks such as that of Virgin, even in rural areas, will make broadband faster. Companies such as Akamai and Limelight are figuring out how to route traffic more effectively across the mulititude of platforms, and we're relying more and more on web apps. The result: software video distribution networks will finally negate the need for optical discs.
5. Standrard Game Controls
It might seem like another thing sure to stay in our hearts for years to come but is it really? The Xbox 360 controller you use today will morph into something more radical, a combination of the Nintendo Wiimote with accelerometer sensors, video systems that scan your body movements (ala Microsoft's Project Natal), and various hardware add-ons such as Guitar Hero controllers and nunchucks. Gaming will change from a singular activity with one controller to group gaming where the console senses who is in the room and lets them control more fluid interfaces. Cool huh?
6. The Beloved Desktop Computer
Technology has seen an immesne boost in this area but its reign would seem to be coning to an end, at least for engineers, developers, video production artists, and gamers. For most computer users, the desktop already is dead, according to IDC reports showing that desktop sales have stagnated and netbooks and notebook sales are rising fast. The arising factor being that Intel and AMD processors and graphics chipsets in notebooks can now compete with desktop equivalents. The portability of the netbook will always surpass the desktop, or will it?
7. Operating Systems
Maybe this will seem too far fetched into the future but for the hardcore computer science gurus, yes – an OS must always exist to manage memory and core functions. Yet, the bloatware of today will be replaced by an extremely thin OS that maybe doesn't have a name, and certainly is not run by a commercial entity, such as Microsoft. Instead, computing could become pervasive, and hard to pin down to just one OS running on an LCD screen. "The OS will vanish and we'll have a monolithic browser that manages everything," Maybe even developed so that you can talk to it, it be able to see us and recognises our moods, clothes, and those around us to deliver the appropriate information that we need in a much more efficient fashion than current.
8. Blogging, the end of an era?
One reason blogging, and micro-blogging on Twitter, has become so popular has to do with the one-way nature of web communications. We post our thoughts, people read them. In ten years, the web will become much more interactive, as proven by services such as Qik.com (where you can stream live photos and video) and the exciting, upcoming Google Wave, which allows you to see what someone is typing.
Amazing to think, that these 8 bits of tech used around the world everyday might not be in use in the future?
- daveyy.
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